Running the World’s Biggest Hedgefund

So its about time we reintroduce an old friend. I brought him — the idea — out a bit early. And then put him away because the idea is alarmist. Its an idea I’ve hated to have fostered at all quite frankly, but its one that is hard to deny given whats transpired.  Super-bust.  I’ve written about it before in June with Back to The Future. And back in March with Four Magic Words and Four More Magic Words: Where is my Money.

I never could have imagined things would happen as quickly as they did, certainly not using the information in front of me — isn’t that what they all say though? The talk now in Washington is, if we don’t accept Paulson’s $700B billion to $1.2 trillion bail-out plan and fast, we’ll not be able to avert serious systemic damage.

The fact is, we’ve already experienced and some of us truly suffered, serious systemic damage.  For instance, here’s a new piece of trivia for you to shop around the office: When was the last time the US had no major Investment banks? Or, what did the US credit market look like then? We care because, as of today, there are only specialty houses and the boutique investment bankers left.  Bear Stearns exploded back in March — it took JP Morgan Chase and $30B of Fed loans to put out the flames. Merill Lynch got bought by (shudder) Bank of America.  Both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley were run off of Wall St. and toward the lender of last resort, the Fed, having converted to commercial banks.  And Lehman Brothers is odd man out with the Fed for whatever reason and goes essentially bankrupt.

Paulson’s plan will do nothing to bring back the vast financial innovation, command of respect, and pure flow of capital these companies brought to the face and body of the US economy. They are causalities of a lack of oversight in a system where you’re insolvent by association. Thats exactly why Paulson wants Congress to give him a permnant supply of rockets for his bazooka. But is that what America really needs: our tax dollars with Hank Paulson, running the World’s Biggest Hedgefund?

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